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Iron Condor Spread is the name given to a variation of the Condor Spread. The ‘iron’ part indicates that some part of the strategy is modified. Either the protective wings of the spread are further apart than the regular condor which means that the net credit taken in is larger, along with the correspondingly higher risk, or the profit zone is wider, or a combination of some or all of the above.

Conventionally, the ideal time to put on the iron condor spread is when the stock is midway between the strike prices of the two short options being sold.

However, in order to maximize the profit, many sophisticated traders prefer to ‘morph’ or ‘leg’ into the iron condor spread one ‘leg’ at a time.

To pull this off requires the trader to be competent at the art of technical analysis.

Here’s how it works:

Suppose a trader identifies a high pivot point bar, signaling the possible end of an up swing, and immediately sells the nearest at-the-money or closest out-of-the-money Call with acceptable premium and simultaneously buys a further out-of-the-money Call, for less premium, as the protective wing of the spread.

What the trader has accomplished, thus far, is having established a very attractive limited risk bearish Call Spread at or slightly away from the market, put on for the largest possible credit, at precisely the optimum time.

If the trader’s judgment is correct, the market trends lower until another pivot point is identified, signaling the possible end of a down swing, at which time the trader, anticipating an imminent return to an upswing, sells an at or slightly out of the money Put while simultaneously buying the next strike further down, for less premium, as the protective wing of this also limited risk ‘leg’, thus completing or ‘morphing’ into the ‘iron condor’ spread.

And (are you ready for this?) at absolutely no further increase in margin required. Plus, this position has a huge profit zone in the middle.

Possible follow-up action, should the market move adversely toward the trader, would be to adjust, or ‘roll’, the particular part of the position under attack upward or downward as needed and, possibly, further out in time.

Nothing need be done with that part of the position not under attack. It will simply expire worthless and the trader, having ‘pocketed’ the premium taken in, will move on to the next trade.

Spread traders, typically, sell the ‘front’ months with 45 to 30 days of time remaining till expiration.

While not ‘risk free’, the trader has systematically, step-by-step, managed to improve the odds of success in the traders favor for this iron condor spread position.

Many traders, interested in selling ‘credit spreads’, can utilize this strategy over, and over again, continuously.

It works particularly well using US Treasury bills as margin collateral.

Sellers of credit spreads often think of their trading operations as being similar in nature to those of insurance companies that continuously take in premium and reinvest the proceeds. Losses incurred would be ‘claims’ against the insurance company’s book of business.

They’re middle men. They don’t have to forecast where the stock is going to go in order to be successful. They just have to figure out where the stock is not going to go. They profit as long as the stock stays within a range of prices.

Gambling casinos do much the same thing. Be the ‘house’. Not a bad strategy.

Because No One Cares More About Your Money Than You

http://dynamic-stock-market-strategies.com

Good trading,
Don Heggen

Observing the movement of stock prices in Japanese Candlestick format and in real-time depiction is somewhat akin to watching the printout of an electrocardiogram in motion. One is seeing at first hand the story of an unfolding investor psychology. The first practitioner of Candlestick price representation, so many centuries ago in Japan, was no doubt seeking to develop a strategy or a system of tactics which would deliver to him a trading advantage which would assist him in planning his next moves. The technique of price recordation which he developed was based on the principle of expanding the “line,” or “bar,” on a chart representing the range of prices for a given time period so as to create a fattened-out line, or cylinder, in which the opening price and the closing price for that time period would be the upper and lower limits of the cylinder. If the closing price of the day were higher than the opening price, then the cylinder would not be filled in, or would be left “white;” whereas if the closing price of the day were lower than the opening price, then the cylinder would be filled in, or made “black.”

This style of price display presented a visual picture which was instantly recognized by the eye. It was easy to discern the mood of the rice traders which was in effect during that session; and, depending on the relationship of that particular Candle bar’s relationship to adjacent and nearby bars, the operator had a basis for making a prediction of the direction of prices for the next day.

Furthermore, when interpreted properly in the light of human judgment, the shape of a bar, especially when considered in conjunction with adjacent or nearby bars, was found to possess an ability to forecast a reversal of major trend.

After long and expensive historical research and translation of old records into English, the Candlestick approach to price charting was brought to the Occidental world about 25 years ago. In the early years, the Candles developed a following only very slowly. More recently, however, professional traders and investors, as well as those who do not trade or invest for a living, have begun to appreciate the advantages of the Candlesticks, to the point at which it seems reasonable to predict that they will be the standard within the foreseeable future.

What is so unusual about the Candles? In short, they form patterns which have meaning in terms of revealing traders’ theretofore-hidden investment rationale, and also in terms of allowing forecasts to be made regarding the future course of price action. Some of these visual formations or images are useful in foretelling the end of a trend and a possible topping out and rollover to the downside (if the major trend has been one of increasing prices) or of bottoming out and rolling to the upside (if the major trend has been one of declining prices).

At the top of an extended rising market, one of the more dependable reversal patterns is the “Evening Star,” a three-bar pattern in which the first bar is a tall white bar; the middle bar is a small “Star” which usually sits higher than the first bar; and the third bar is a tall black candle which usually sits lower than the Star. This formation is bearish in its implications; and the implication is strengthened if the Star is a “Shooting Star,” which looks like its namesake. At the end of an extended declining market, the inverse pattern can also appear; and, perhaps not unexpectedly, its name is the “Morning Star.”

The opposite of the Shooting Star is the “Hammer,” which appears only at the end of an extend downtrend. The Hammer is considered to be one of the more reliable predictors of a possible change of trend to the upside, especially when the next day’s closing price is higher than the closing price of the Hammer.

A “Doji” is a price bar in which the opening price and the closing price are the same. It is considered to be an indicator of a reining-up - of indecision - and of a possible change of trend, when it appears at the end of an extended move in either direction. A Star whose opening price and closing price are the same is called a “Doji Star.” A “Bearish Engulfing” pattern occurs at the top of an uptrend, and is marked by the “real body” (i.e., the cylinder in the price bar) engulfing the real bodies of one or more previous bars. The “Bearish Engulfing” formation is, quite naturally, bearish. Its converse is the Bullish Engulfing pattern, which occurs at the bottom of a downtrend; and, obviously, carries a bullish signal.

In Candlestick parlance, gaps (”windows”) are celebrated as being generators of support and resistance. Often, a comparison of price action before and following a gap clearly reveals the power of a gap to repel prices which venture within it.

The Candles are useful in any time frame, including day trading. Although they are valuable in foretelling reversals, they do not predict the extent of a move. They are perfectly compatible with all “Western” Indicators, and the synergy which often results from the Candles and the Western Indicators used together can be remarkable. Furthermore, the Candles are equally adaptable to use in every financial market, including stocks, indexes, commodities, and Forex.

Technical analysis of Japanese Candlestick price imaging is founded on the hypothesis that price action in the financial markets is not random or mechanical; rather, that it is patterned (if the practitioner is following Elliott Wave theory), and that it is the result of human emotion in action.

There are many practitioners of Candlestick analytics who make their services available to the investing public. Some of them publish investment advisory newsletters (alternatively called “investment newsletters” or “market letters” or permutations thereof); some offer instructional and training seminars, forums, and chat rooms; some publish books; and some of them offer multiple services and products. Their observation of the Candlestick world sometimes leads to a critique of the common wisdom as propounded by the media, and to explicit review of, and commentary on, the state of the markets. Expostulation of the Candlestick analytical technique is not commonly a part of financial news programs, either in the popular printed media or on television; nor are the particulars of Candle theory often the subject of study, research, investigation, or illustration for the benefit of the investing public.

This is unfortunate, because the information which flows from these concepts could often open up new possibilities for investors and be of value to them in their decision making process.

http://www.candlewave.com