Posts Tagged ‘moving’
Friday, January 16th, 2009
It is so easy to become completely bogged down trying to keep up with the company news updates, you know, the feeds you get on the financial news channels. This causes you to get frustrated and often confused. There’s a lot of very interesting information, but does it serve to help our trading decisions? Remember, no two people have the same perspective on anything, and that includes the stock market. The analysts you watch and listen might well have very good and valid reasons for talking a stock up or down, depending upon their own investment criteria.
Here are 3 reasons to help you see why technical analysis works:
1. Every day trading decision, and I mean every one of them, without exception, ends up in one and only one result; price. The price of the stock at close of trading is where the whole picture finishes. You can do anything you like with company data; analyse it, pull it apart, listen to speculators, traders, journalists, but the result a closing is always the same.
2. It is correct that history does not necessarily reflect the future, and that’s quite right, no one would argue the case. But, and it’s a big but, it has been proven time over, that human psyche does repeat itself, the brain functions the in the same manner all the time. What you see on technical day trading charts is the result of past thinking, of past psyche. It will be argued until the end of time that you cannot trade for the future, based on historical data. But the technical data that is delivered and shown by these charts does lend itself to narrowing the odds enormously in our favour, IF used correctly. There are too many successful technical traders to suggest otherwise.
3. To see an excellent example, watch the price of a stock that’s moving in a trend, or range, and you can see that same patterns, by and large being repeated, day in, day out. All of a sudden, the price pushes beyond the upper and lower price boundaries that it’s held for the past few days or weeks, and you have a potential buy or sell trading opportunity.
There are traders who use only fundamentals, and still argue against technical trading, but if you have the time, a blend of both is best. The advantage of using chart set ups is that you can better gauge, and fine tune, where you are going to place you entry and exit positions.
How would you like to discover more about the techniques successful traders use to make profitable trades?
Download them free here: Day Trading Course
Ian Jackson is an authority on Day Trading information, learning the hard way - and now he reveals how you can learn the business too, without all the growing pains.
Tags: advantage, Ali, amp, Ast, bet, bett, brain, business, cia, ck, day trading, daytrading, decisions, discover, Eek, few days, Fi, financial, financial news, fit, Fre, Gr, heir, history, human, inc, informat, investment, lot, market, moving, odds, patter, peopl, People, perspective, profitable trade, profitable trades, Rate, reason, sit, Speculators, stock, stock market, target, trades, trading
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Wednesday, January 14th, 2009
Every day hundreds of savvy network marketers and even the old-school MLMers purchase Ann Sieg’s Renegade System–a funded sponsoring proposal lead generation system–but a lot of them do it unknowingly.
What they initially picked up was a copy of her e-book, The Renegade Network Marketer, but after they read the book they realized they get a lot more than just words and ideas.
Just as Mike Dillard has done with his Magnetic Sponsoring, Sieg’s book comes with her Renegade System. Although different in many ways, both books and systems have empowered network marketers to move into a new era for the networking industry-the era of marketing.
First & Second Impressions about The Renegade and Magnetic Sponsoring…
Many progressive networkers, and even some of the old-school MLM types, fumble through the first pages of The Renegade feeling a bit anxious because there’s a sense you just found the mother-load… like stumbling into a goldmine but realizing you can’t carry anything home until you do some heavy lifting.
And it’s true. The Renegade introduces you to an entirely new fascinating world, where people come to you instead of the other way around… where you can monetize like a real business for much needed cash-flow… and where you can get in front of a huge trend whereby millions of people are moving online.
But making the switch from old-school to new-school will require some work and there’s a sense you can’t move fast enough. Most networkers have quite a bit to learn about marketing before they ace the new model… with that said, it’s light-years easier than building the business the old way.
But the feeling of ‘overwhelm’ is there… and it’s similar to how many people felt when they found Magnetic Sponsoring… overwhelm and excitement.
Between the two books, the Renegade had the greatest impact because I saw a missing component that I did not see in Magnetic Sponsoring–I was looking for the best way to teach my clients and team.
I had read Mike Dillard’s Magnetic Sponsoring and had employed some affiliate marketing strategies and the funded-sponsoring proposal out of what I learned in his MLM Traffic Formula course, but it wasn’t until I found The Renegade Network Marketer and its ’sister’ System, that I felt I could teach any of this stuff to my team.
This is what’s most important to me because in network marketing it’s about duplication.
I had been teaching network marketing (the old-school way) for years, and coaching is a passion. So when I saw how well Ann had put her Renegade package together specifically for beginners, I was excited to expand upon it. I started planning how I’d gather my team and clients and come back to mine the gold together. And that’s what we did.
Within weeks, people who had been wasting thousands of dollars on leads to build their network marketing business and getting no where, who were afraid of Internet marketing up to that point, were employing The Renegade System strategies by following simple tutorials we had set up.
Click here for a video overview of The Renegade Network Marketer
Over a hundred people on our team made the switch within weeks. We threw out the cold-calling and warm market stuff forever, and started generating leads and new income with the Renegade. The prospects started calling people on my team and they were thrilled. Over a hundred of my clients (many from other network marketing companies) started generating their own leads list, and then monetizing it. The whole ‘training experiment’ was a smash.
What’s Next for The Renegade’ers and Magnetic Gurus?
The next big movement in this new model for network marketers is teaching others how to set it all up in step-by-step tutorials like we’ve done. I’ve seen proof of its power. People flock to you by the thousands to learn.
If you want to create your own system to do this make sure it is set up for the beginner in very small bite sizes, and that it’s visual so they can literally follow along.
Also, remember how much Ann Sieg emphasized monetization in The Renegade Network Marketer. Make sure your training system increases monetization not just for you, but also for your team and prospects who should be able to use your training system with the same benefit you do.
I think you’ll see this kind of training take the MLM industry by storm, and to the next level of maturity because it’s exactly what the majority of network marketers who have read The Renegade (or Dillard’s stuff) need.
So find a system that does this, like one we’ve created called Renegade University, or create one that meets the criteria above and you’ll be ahead of the curve, positioned to attract a huge number of prospects to you, while earning a lot more cash flow if you monetize it properly. Then, you can lead those prospects to wherever it is you want them to end up (like your MLM business, for example).
“It’s a whole lot easier when the prospects are coming to you, Mike says.”
Mike teaches network marketers Internet attraction marketing, emphasizing “no and low cost” strategies with Social Web 2.0 Media.
Get Click-by-Click Help Setting Up Your Marketing & Attract More Prospects to You
Learn with Mike to generate your own prospects list, and how to monetize with cash-flow strategies that allow you to afford to keep building the network marketing business you’re in right now.
Tags: affiliate marketing, Ahead, Ali, Ally, amp, Ast, Benefit, bet, Books, business, cash, Cash Flow, cia, ck, Coach, Coul, dea, Diffe, Dollar, E Book, ears, Eek, Employ, Employe, excitement, Fi, fit, Gold, Goldmine, Gr, gre, Guru, gurus, heir, home, how many people, impressions, inc, internet marketing, Irs, lot, many people, market, marketer, marketers, marketing, Marketing Business, marketing strategies, mike dillard, mlm, monet, moving, Network Marketer, network marketers, network marketing, Network Marketing Business, network marketing companies, next level, passion, peopl, People, proof, Prope, prospects, Rate, renegade, rent, Rsi, s system, sit, Smal, target, traffic
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Thursday, December 4th, 2008
I wanted to take the time to share with you a little about methods of profitable forex trading. This is a huge market with a lot of money moving around in a day. There is a big potential for an ordinary Joe to get some of that money, but before you can do that, you need to learn foundation of quality trading. I hope to share that information with you.
The first thing you need to get under control is what I like to call the “inner gambler”. You’ve seen gambling destroy people’s lives. This type of person lives inside of all of us. They’re fixed on the emotional high of winning and feel they can win back losses. You need to make sure that this person never sees the light of day. You do this by controlling your emotions and making decisions based on logic. If you seem to be getting gut feelings or stressed out, you’re allowing that gambler to surface. Stick to cold calculated moves and you’ll be on your way to profiting.
The next thing I’m going to share is the need to understanding a good buy. We are obsessed in our culture of finding the best for the cheapest price. The thing is we are consumers, so we’re not intending to trade. The key to profiting in forex is finding the exit or sell price. That is what determines profits. When you find currencies that you could trade that you expect to go up 15%, it doesn’t matter how much it costs. All that matters is the exit price.
The ultimate way to generate profits in the forex market is by using the Forex Tracer. It is a tool that can find the most profitable trades and make them on your behalf. It is a hands free way of profiting. Check out the Forex Tracer Review.
Tags: Ali, Cheap, ck, consumers, Control, Coul, currencies, decisions, Emoti, emotion, emotions, face, feelings, Fi, fit, forex, forex market, forex trading, Fre, gambler, gut feelings, heck, huge market, informat, Irs, logic, losses, lot, market, met, money, moving, peopl, People, profitable trade, profitable trades, profits, Rate, Review, target, trades, trading
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Friday, November 21st, 2008
Trading systems based on price breakout can be considered as a system based on oscillations. In other words traders who use breakout systems are not interested in long-term trades but immediate price movement.
Breakout trading systems are based on assumption that if price breached the boundary of a range then there is a high probability that the move will continue. It can last a short period of time but that can be enough to make a profit in a trade.
I believe breakout trading strategies is a good place to start for a beginner trader. It has number of benefits
1. It is the best exercise to practice your trading skills.
2. It can teach you some techniques that can be hard to learn in other strategies like buying the dips and selling the rallies. Most people don’t feel comfortable trading such strategies. Breakout strategy on the other hand is easy to master.
3. Trading strategies on breakout have clear rules of setting stop losses. It is very important for new traders because it helps to follow the right money management rules. Violating the money management rules is the most popular reason of failure in trading.
4. It will teach you to be patient since in most cases breakout systems work best if the trade is carried out to the next day.
5. This kind of trading systems will allow you to improve your trading skills. Most of them require active participation in market compared to other systems like many trend following systems. Many traders are afraid to push the button when it comes to placing an order. Breakout systems can help you to overcome such fear by continuously executing mechanical trades. Most of them require placing pending orders that also relives the fear of taking action in market.
6. Even if you are in the habit of entering the market based on your discretion, breakout systems still can help you to better understand the dynamics of market. I believe any mechanical system can help you develop a feel for the market. The only thing you need to do is relentlessly execute the trades.
As any other system breakout systems have their own pros and cons. These systems can give you a good profit on volatile and trending market. But when market starts moving sideways the breakout system experiences losses. You can trade any breakout system as is. Placing the orders whenever price breakouts the range. Or you can try to filter out the sideway movement of price and stay out of market in those periods of time.
Albert Schmidt is a part-time currency trader. After quite a long time of struggle he learned to make consistent profit trading in Forex. Review a trading strategy he successfully uses in his trading Forex.
Tags: Assumption, Ast, Benefit, Benefits, bet, bett, Breach, currency, currency trader, experiences, failure, fear, Fi, fit, forex, forex trading, forex trading strategies, habit, heir, inc, long time, losses, market, mechanic, money, money management, moving, new traders, oscillations, peopl, People, period of time, periods, price movement, probability, profit trading, Rate, reason, Review, s trading, short period, stop loss, target, trades, trading, trading forex
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Friday, November 14th, 2008
The need to learn online Forex trading is expanding world wide as the reputation of the Foreign Exchange Markets grow in credibility as an exceptional place to become wealthy in a relatively short period. The currency markets are not nearly as sophisticated as some of the professional Forex traders like to put on in order to boost there own self worth and attempt to keep the private investors from scooping away some of the substantial profits they make, which were once reserved for them exclusively. An individual currency trading on any particular day has only one of two directions it can go, which are; it can increase in value or drop in value. There is no other possible alternatives.
Since a currency has a fifty percent chance of increasing in value and a fifty percent chance of decreasing in value a private financier that knew nothing about the currency markets also has a fifty percent chance of selecting the proper trade of a currency. Now, if that private trader has taken time to learn currency trading one would only have to surmise that there odds of picking the direction a currency is moving would increase. On top of that if they have the tools a professional trader utilizes helping them determine the direction a currency is going to go there percentage chance of selecting the proper direction should also increase.
Let’s examine these percentages in more detail. To start with if you just flip a coin to initiate a trade you have a fifty percent chance of being correct. Next, you take a comprehensive Forex trading course; at the very least your percentage of properly selecting a trading direction is going to increase at a minimum of five percent. Actually, statistics of students that took the classes seriously and studied hard show us that it is around ten percent, but I will use the minimum as an example. Next, if you acquire a Forex trend based software system and a Forex signal based software system similar to the type the professional traders use and you take the time to learn how to use them properly your percentage will increase at a minimum success rate of five percent.
If you simply invested around three hundred dollars in training and software your are now at a sixty percent chance of selecting the direction a currency is moving. I am sure you are asking, if you can make money being correct sixty percent of the time? Not only can you make money, if you patient and disciplined the funds can be substantial. Why some people fail even with these incredible odds, are exactly what I stated above, inpatients and lack of discipline. They simply expose themselves to large amounts of risk using the margins provide by the Forex brokerage firms. If you find this happening to you, then learn online Forex trading next from a professional mentoring program which specializes in training the proper way of how to make use of the margins and make the margins work for you as opposed to against you. By following this simple Forex program I am sure you now realize that statically, you really can’t lose and are on your way to becoming a Forex money making machine.
We have researched, tested & reviewed 100s of Forex Courses, Software Systems and Brokerage Firms which we only list our TOP 10 to help you LEARN FOREX TRADING. For 100s of FREE FOREX TUTORIALS please visit LEARN CURRENCY TRADING. Good Luck! I look forward to seeing you on the trading floor making money! William R. Alheim, Jr., CPA, MA
Tags: Ali, Ally, amp, Ast, Based Software, broker, Brokerage Firm, brokerage firms, cia, ck, credibility, currency, currency market, currency markets, currency trading, discipline, Dollar, Enough Money, Exceptional Place, exchange market, Fi, Fifty Percent, financial, Financial Independence, financier, fit, foreign, foreign exchange, foreign exchange market, foreign exchange markets, forex, forex broker, forex brokerage, forex course, forex money, forex signal, Forex Trade, forex trader, forex traders, forex trading, Forex Trading Course, forex tutorial, Fre, Free Forex, good luck, Gr, inc, investor, investors, learn forex, learn forex trading, lpi, Make Money, making money, Marg, margin, market, markets, mentor, mentoring, money, moving, odds, online forex, peopl, People, Percentage Chance, Private Investors, Private Trader, profession, Professional Trader, profits, Prope, Proper Direction, Rate, reputation, Review, risk, scoop, Searc, Self Worth, short period, sit, Software, Software System, target, trading
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Tuesday, November 4th, 2008
Lisa and I walked 5 miles around Boston to celebrate our wedding anniversary. The Swan boats, Italian food in the Northend, a new “doo” for Lisa on Newbury Street, and new summer sweaters for me(”About time you got some sweaters with bright colors!”, Lisa said).
At Fanueil Hall Marketplace we watched “Formerly known as ‘Jim the Juggler,’ now known simply as “Jim, from The Jim Show.” Jim does daffy juggling as children giggle and parents laughed (we laughed and giggled). Jim balanced on a large beach ball while juggling.
I cannot stand on a beach ball nor can I juggle. Yet every morning my brain attempts the economic juggle, a dance registered investment advisors do in their office (privately). No need to mention the balls required, but here is an outline of what each ball lofted represents.
Each subject has current relevance, especially when the market movers sell more stock than they buy. I will define and explain the relevance in my opinion.
- Interest Rates
- Bond Rates
- Inflation
Other influences driving the stock market have aggregate affect, but individually lack market-moving clout. So, let’s look at what each subject means to the market.
Interest Rates: Lisa’s grandmother laments about the Bush administration while she longs for Jimmy Carter. “Those were the good ole days when the banks paid you for investing!” She remembers a call from a Florida stock broker offering her a 15% return on her $25,000 deposit. Of course, she and “Pa” never calculated their real rate of return (The inflation rate from June 1986 to June 1989 was 13.33% leaving 2.67% pre-tax real-rate of return)
Interest rates and inflation are the horse and cart of the economy. High Interest rates do not guarantee low inflation, nor that Lisa’s grandmother gets a “good-return” on her money. However, higher interest rates manage economies by affecting borrowing, corporate expansion, merger/acquisition activity (notice it slowed down on June 5, 2007), and currency values (U.S. dollar versus the Yen, as an example). Finally, the stock market dislikes high interest rates because there is less risk when buying bonds. You still with me?
News Flash! “Tracy Withers reports that “New Zealand’s central bank unexpectedly raised its benchmark interest rate to a record 8 percent, saying housing demand and consumer spending are fanning inflation. The currency rose to a 22-year high”
“Skellerup Holdings Ltd., which exports rubber goods used in medicine and irrigation, this week said full-year profit will fall by 34 percent because of the currency’s gain. The company is planning to stop some local production and fire workers because it is cheaper to make goods overseas, it said.”
Interest rate increases control inflation and can instigate sector recessions.
2. OK. On to Bond values. The bond market is all about the “cost of money”. Cheap money means mortgages, corporate buyouts, and stock market opportunity.
How come the bond market does not control interest rates? Perhaps because there is no immediate consensus, and bond traders might not consider inflation’s nasty economic slaps the way Federal Reserve Bankers do. Federal Reserve Bankers line their jackets and underwear with fabric imprints reading “Inflation”. Nothing matters more. At the Federal Reserve Bank water cooler, it’s all about inflation.
Bond traders are not numb to economic indicators. Sell-off’s in bonds push interest rates up and bond values/prices down. Bond traders don’t take risks with an greater courage than you or I. No one wants to lose money.
Joseph Keating, Chief Investment Officer for First American Asset Management thinks bond yields are now giving “competition” to stocks. Investors are observing bond yields, and consider bonds the “safer bet”. Stock buyers need a “premium” when buying stocks due to stock risk. This is known as “stock risk-premium”. When risk premiums are high, bonds fly.
Supply and demand drives pricing. So when bond buyers are attracted to higher yields, pricing gets tighter (bond prices go up and bond yields go down). This bond buying brings lower yields or lower interest rates in the bond market. Lower interest rates in the bond market decreases the risk premium making stocks attractive. When risk premiums are low, stocks grow. Fascinating, don’t you think?
Bond traders tend, in my opinion, to give weight to economic growth rather than to the value of the dollar. Dollar values may tell us more about inflation than any other indicator. Every commodity in America (and the dollar is no longer a commodity) is dollar-priced. If the dollar is down in value against other currencies, does it suggest that prices are inflated? Does this mean that someday, holders of the dollar will want more for what they can get with their lower-valued dollars? It seems so.
Inflation: No wonder the “Fed” worries about inflation. The insidious affect gets little attention from the public, but the result devastates buying power.
Tracking inflation started in 1914. Not much relevance tracking inflation from 1914 to now. However, we could try it from January 1997 to January 2007. From then to now, the inflation rate is 27.14%.
Now, let’s calculate what that means to your spending power. We can calculate the affect of inflation: $1+($1 x .2714)= $1.2714 or $1.27. This means your investment account per thousand must earn at least $270 more per thousand just to keep up with inflation.
The current Inflation Rate is 2.57%.
“Inflation causes reduced consumer spending, it squeezes profit margins,” said John Kornitzer, who manages $6 billion at Kornitzer Capital Management in Shawnee Mission, Kansas. (Bloomberg.com, U.S. Stocks Retreat on Inflation Concern…, Michael Patterson)
What do you prefer? High interest rates or low inflation? Juggle them if you can; for me, logic recommends asset allocation.
As a registered investment advisor, Ray Randall provides clients with tools to manage risk control as clients work toward investment goals. You may read more about him at Ethos Advisory.com Ray also manages the article bank and resource directory found at Echievements.com. Would you like to know how much risk your temperament permits? Fill out a request for a no-cost report on the Ethos Advisory Services contact page.
Tags: account, Ali, Ally, amp, asset management, Ast, bank, banks, benchmark, bet, bonds, brain, broker, bush administration, capital, Cheap, cia, ck, clout, commodity, consumer spending, contact, Control, corporate, Coul, currencies, currency, currency value, Currency Values, current, Current Inflation Rate, Dollar, dollar values, economic growth, economic indicators, Economy, Eek, ema, federal reserve, federal reserve bank, Fi, fit, Food, Gig, goals, Gr, gre, heir, high interest, high interest rates, inc, inflation, Inflation Rate, interest rate, Interest Rates, investing, investment, investor, investors, Irs, jimmy carter, laps, laugh, logic, Marg, margin, market, money, mortgage, movers, moving, Parents, patter, pita, Premiums, presents, Profit Margin, profit margins, Rate, rate increase, Rate Of Return, Recession, recessions, register, rent, risk, sit, stock, stock market, stocks, target
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Saturday, November 1st, 2008
I wanted to take the time to talk to you about the simple actions you can do for currency trading that will ultimately lead to your success. This is a big market with a lot of money moving around. There is absolutely no reason why you can’t have some of that money coming to you, but you need to learn how to do it correctly for the long term.
In this business, you need to be determined. This is a long term game. Rarely do people take a step in and get rich. You have a lot to learn and that means you’re going to have some very rough times. Most people that attempt forex are not determined, they lose a little money, then quit. If you want to be successful, you have to keep making steps forward during the good times and keep making steps forward during the bad times. No matter how bad it gets, there is a light at the end of the tunnel.
There are a million different reasons why you can make a trade, but there should really only be one reason, profit. You shouldn’t make a trade unless you’re going to make money. I know that sounds obvious, but when you’re in the heat of the moment, you’ll find all sorts of reasons to trade. I remember having a bad trade and I felt like I needed to make an immediate trade to win the money back. It didn’t go so well. Sometimes if you don’t see a good trade, you feel like you have to do one because you’re a currency trader. Not smart. You should only be trading when their is profit to be made.
The Forex Loophole makes things a lot easier for you by simplifying the trading process and putting profit at the forefront. Check out my review on the Forex Loophole.
Tags: all sorts, Ally, business, ck, currency, currency trader, currency trading, Diffe, different reasons, Fi, fit, forefront, forex, game, good times, heat of the moment, heck, heir, light at the end of the tunnel, loophole, lot, Make Money, market, met, money, money back, moving, peopl, People, reason, rent, Review, rough times, Sorts, target, term game, trading
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Sunday, October 26th, 2008
When it comes to trading the Forex having a trading system is the number one key to success. Making currency trades as “mechanical” as possible is the only way to sanely trade a market where the traders fear and greed are always in play.
This is where a trading system shines. Having a system that says when “A” happens you automatically execute trade “B.” This kind of system has a great effect at removing much of our emotional trading.
How The Systems Work
As you probably know, Forex trading is based on the relationship of one currency to another - called pairs. And these pairs are used to create a trade. For instance you believe that the Euro is due to rise against the Dollar - or said another way - you believe the Euro is strong and the US Dollar is weak. Based on this assumption you would expect to see the Euro rise in value over the dollar and if it did you would profit.
So the pair you would be trading is the EUR/USD pair where the first currency listed, in this case the Euro is called the base currency. The second, in this case the US Dollar, is called the counter or quote currency. Each pair is quoted with a single number that expresses the relationship between the pairs. So if a quote of 1.4525 were quoted that would mean that it would take 1.4525 Dollars to exchange for a single Euro.
The Fibs
Fibonacci, often called the fibs, are a method of gaining some measure of predictive pricing in the Forex markets. They are based on the famed number sequence developed by a mathematician named, you guessed it, Fibonacci. The sequence that he developed is a sum where each of the two preceding numbers are added to form the next in the sequence. So a sequence starting from the number 1 would look like 1,1,2,3,5,8…and so on.
The Forex is especially sensitive to the fibs. If you spend any time with your currency charts you will notice how prices turn at or near Fibonacci numbers.
Now of course then numbers are not as neat and clean as 1,1,2,3,5 etc. In the currencies they look more like. .236, .50, .382, .618, etc., Using this type of number sequence you will find that you can use the Fibs as a price point to enter or exit a trading position. They offer a seasoned trader a certain measure of predictive capability.
They can be used in you trading system as the response to other market signals so if you get a market signal that tells you to enter the market long the Euro, then your mechanical response would be to wait until the prices broke through the next Fibonacci resistance line and then enter your position. Waiting for this type of movement would help prove that the price was on the rise.
Of course this is assuming that you expect the price of the Euro to go up, and that is not the only way the market could move, but this is the beauty of the Forex, you can trade the market up or down. It lets you make money in both directions.
For more Forex currency trading systems visit http://ForexTradingRobot.info a site dedicated to trading systems for seasoned traders and beginners alike.
Tags: Ali, Ally, Assumption, base currency, beauty, bet, Capability, cia, Coul, currencies, currency, Currency Trades, currency trading, Currency Trading System, Dollar, ema, Emoti, emotion, fear, Fi, Fib, fit, forex, forex currency, forex currency trading, forex market, forex markets, forex trading, Gr, gre, Greed, guess, Irs, Make Money, market, markets, math, mechanic, met, money, moving, pairs, relationship, resistance, robot, signals, sit, target, trades, trading
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Saturday, October 25th, 2008
If you are a trader, particularly trading the ES, or spoos, you know how the intraday market often takes you right out of a trade executed at the wrong time. You expected a short trade and you were right but you got in too early. A common problem for all traders. What if there was a way to know if the market was moving in your favor before you executed? We think there is. And it is primarily dependent on reading both the trin and the vix. Consider this premise.
If there was an effective way to know whether a trend has started on the trin, would it necessarily mean the same trend had started on the vix? Not at all. Unless both the trin and vix have ended an existing trend, trading against either one could easily result in losses. We have developed a time tested method for determining when a trend exists as well as a means for determining targets for when it will 4x software And we have developed a complete consistently profitable strategy around it.
We are sharing our logic here for the first time anywhere.
When using a 1 minute chart, the trin and vix moves in small increments measured to the 2nd decimal point (1/100th). To illustrate the idea we will just talk about the trin although the basic idea applies also to the vix. The first issue, however, is to determine what part of the bar you are looking at. We believe the high of the trin and vix corresponds with the low of the spoos. The converse is also true. Also forget all the preconceived ideas about what is bullish or bearish. The trin can be at 3.4 and move down to 1.9 and you can see a heck of a rally in the process.
Presuming that the trin has established a pivot in the opposite direction, if a trend is being established look for the following.
The trin should move from the current 1/10th decimal point in to a new 1/10 decimal point. ei
current reading 1.15 and going up. To be trending, the trin must move in to 1.2X at least. Trin must not have been less than 1.15 when you start tracking it. Also, if the trin moves lower than 1.15, the 4x software trend probably has not started and you need to keep watching. But once it starts to move, it WILL move in to the next 1/10 decimal point and likely will continue in to the 1.3X or 1.4X or more. Thus the trend has started and trading with the trend will produce successful trades.
Another compelling factor, however, is the existence of gaps in the trin and vix. We define a gap this way. If the close of the preceding one minute bar is not intersected by any portion of the current bar, a gap exists. Equally important is if the high of the current bar has not intersected the close of the previous bar you have a gap that suggests the index will move UP to fill the gap, hence resulting in a corresponding drop in the spoos when the gap is filled. If the low of the current bar does not intersect the previous bar, the index will move down to fill the gap, resulting in a corresponding move up in the spoos when the gap is filled. Gaps of any size in the trin are always filled. Gaps in the vix of less than .05 may not be filled. We have the data to prove this. So if you know where these gaps are, if the current reading is in general proximity to a known gap, holding the trade until the gap is filled can be enormously profitable.
We invite you to explore these concepts on your own or if you want to see specific results check out our website or write to us for examples of any given historical date and we will provide you with the data.
RSKsys Intl.
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Sunday, October 19th, 2008
We receive little if no information from our public school education about managing money. Even if we have, most of us are not aware of the public policy changes that have been made that influence our current money management.The most recent change dates back to President Nixon, who in 1971. took us off of the gold standard. It has to be one of the biggest monetary changes that has occurred in world history. Many people alive today are not aware of the large impact that this move has made on our current world economy. After this move, the dollar was no longer money, but became currency.
What is the difference between money and currency?Currency, in order to survive, has to keep moving. If it quits moving, it loses value and then the people stop accepting it. The result is that the dollar will approach a value of zero. Before this move to eliminate the gold standard, the United States was one of the richest nations in the world. Now after this move, the U.S. government is in debt.
Another change that occurred in 1974. That was the move from the defined benefit retirement plan and to the defined contribution plan. The defined benefit plan guaranteed the retiree a paycheck for as long as he or she lived. This proved to be too expensive. The defined contribution retirement plan depends on how much you and your employer contribute. This contributes to one of the greatest fears of the current retirees. That is whether they will run out of money before their demise. Typical defined contribution plans include IRAs,Keoghs, 401[k]s.etc.
There are many of us who want to rely on the government to solve their financial problems. But how can they rely on an entity that is in debt and cannot solve its own financial problems. Thus, it is important to educate yourself as to how to actively solve your financial problems. Unfortunately, the poor and middle class tend to avoid or pretend that they don’t have financial problems. After all if the government is in debt, why isn’t okay for them to be in debt.
The trap to avoid is the scenario that begins with the ease of overspending your available budget. Because credit cards are so easy to use and can delay the responsibility of payment, one unpaid credit balance can lead to another unpaid credit balance. And then one has to take out a mortgage on his house to try to get out of debt. This is a vicious circle and one to best avoid in the first place.
The important lesson from all of this information is to learn to stay within your budget. Then at the end of the month you might have some money left over to invest for the future and retirement. You will find that you will begin to learn how to solve money problems rather than to be a victim of poor money management.
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Word verification for the day: What is the origin of the term “boogie-woogie”? A “boogie” is a hobglobin or anything majic. “Boogies” like to dance to weird music. Music with the beat of the toms-toms in the bass is “boogie” music.”Woogie” was a later addition.
I am a recently retired general surgeon [ 40 years] living in beautiful Colorado Springs, Colorado at the foot of Pike’s Peak.
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