Posts Tagged ‘shape’
Monday, December 15th, 2008
Getting rich is also a science that has its own laws. Anyone who understands them and abides by them can become rich and take control of his life. All of us have heard of the Law of Attraction but how many of us actually practice it in daily lives? Wallace D. Wattles had written a book a century ago, which turned out to be a timeless classic. In his book, he had opined that getting rich is a predictable income if one understands and inculcates the principles that he has summarized in his book. This book has inspired many teachers and philosophers who also believe in doing things in a “certain way” to get money. Any person who knowingly or unknowingly does things in the said manner ends up getting rich. Bob Proctor, Rhonda Byrne, Michael Beckwith, and Jack Canfield came together to create a new type of training seminar called “The SGR seminar” modeled on Wattles’ wealth creation philosophies.
The SGR seminar is a comprehensive training system that aims to explain principles of Wattles and encourages everyone to incorporate them in their daily lives. The seminar also includes audio, written, and live seminar formats to help individuals learn, employ and master these incredibly simple but important principles of wealth creation. What makes this seminar more striking is its in-built vehicle that enables participants to make money through an affiliate program. The seminar therefore not only empowers individuals with the knowledge to become rich but also provides means to extend their income. The seminar therefore is a unique amalgamation of original concepts by Wattles and expertise of masterminds like Bob Proctor, Jack Canfield and Michael Beckwith, and Rhonda Byrne.
The seminar has shaped the lives of many individuals so far and continues to inspire people from all walks of life.
To find out more about the science of getting rich, and read a complete review before buying ANYTHING check out http://www.thescienceofgettingrich-wallacewattles.com
Tags: aim, Ally, Ast, Aud, ceo, ck, Control, corporate, Employ, expert, Fi, Gr, heck, heir, inc, knowledge, Law Of Attraction, Make Money, money, peopl, People, principle, Rate, Review, shape, target, walks of life
Posted in Article | No Comments »
Saturday, October 25th, 2008
Going away to college and leaving home for the first time. That can be pretty exciting scary, and confusing all at the same time. You are going to be faced with many new things, changes, and of course responsibilities.
You are going to learn many life lessons and probably the biggest lesson is how you handle your money.
Every bodies life is different. Usually when you are living at home most of the money making decisions are made for you or at least you can seek guidance from your parents.
All of a sudden in college you are making money decisions on your own. If you aren’t careful you might find yourself without much money. That is not a good situation.
Making smart decisions with your money not only helps you during college but also sets you up for life. Here are some ideas that might help you with some of your money decisions.
Know Where Your Money Is Going
This is the start of your budget. Make a list of all the mandatory monthly expenses you have. These might include rent, food, utilities, transportation, parking fees, school supplies, loans or credit card payments, and maybe student fees.
Pay Yourself First
Once you know where your money is going each month give yourself some spending money and then find a way to put a little bit of money in a savings account. This develops such a great habit.
Now matter how tight things are put some money away.
Get Organized
You need to keep all of your receipts in one place. Use a filing system. Separate things by month and by categories. You can use an accordion style filing system or just plain manila folders. Make sure you balance your bank statement every month.
Become Cheap
Start looking for little ways to save money. Get in the habit of becoming frugal with your money. If you are not on a food plan pack your lunch. Ride your bike to school or walk. Try not buy your textbooks new. Find used ones or look to trade books with people.
Try Not To Go Into Debt
College can be very expensive. You might be in a position where you are borrowing money to attend to school. Student loans start adding up so make sure that is the only debt you have coming out of school.
Be careful with credit cards. Credit card companies are very good at targeting college students. They do if for one reason. They know for many of you this would be your first credit card and you are more than likely going to get in a position where they are making money on you with the interest.
These are just a few ideas and tips. If you follow these you should be in good shape financially during college and in your life beyond college.
Mark Nelson is the creator and owner of http://www.financialhat.com The goal of this site is to educate people about money and also to teach people how to build their wealth for their own financial independence. He also writes topics on business and self-improvement. If you would like more information on how to build your wealth please go to his website and download his free e-book, Building Your Wealth.
Tags: account, Ally, Ast, bank, Books, Budget, business, cards, Cheap, cia, ck, credit, Credit Card, Credit Cards, dea, debt, decisions, Diffe, E Book, e books, Eek, ego, Expenses, face, Fi, financial, Financial Independence, folders, Food, Fre, Gr, gre, guidance, habit, heir, home, inc, informat, Irs, little bit, loan, loans, making money, Mark Nelson, money, monthly expenses, Much Money, Parents, peopl, People, Rate, reason, receipts, rent, savings account, scary, shape, sit, smart decision, Spending Money, target
Posted in Article | No Comments »
Saturday, October 18th, 2008
In some way, shape or form we have all been hit either directly or indirectly by the “credit crisis.” Moving the mortgage, loan and housing markets forward is now a top priority or the government to avoid any recession like slump.
In the UK, the Financial Services Authority, responsible for regulating the mortgage industry, focuses on treating customers fairly and ensuring that when you apply for a home loan brokers and lenders determine your affordability to service the loan payments from your disposable income, not just today but throughout the entire term of the loan.
When you apply for a home loan through a mortgage or loan adviser should take a detailed breakdown of your income and expenditure to make sure you are not exposing yourself the risk of the loan becoming unaffordable at some point in the future. If they do not then you are not receiving proper advice.
It is of the utmost importance that the industry makes affordability a top priority within the mortgage and loan market moving forward, to avoid another replay of the credit crisis which is still taking its toll on customers, lenders and brokers alike.
The best advice would be to always research the market and work out a reasonable budget based on your net income and overall outgoings before applying for a home loan or mortgage. Get comparisons from the top lenders by using a mortgage/loan broker and only when you are certain that the loan you wish to take out is affordable to you should you then apply.
You could also have a go at using some online loan calculators to see how much your loan may cost and how much you can really afford each month before applying.
This article was written by Gary Taylor, a representative of Rate Hunter Limited, owners and operators of http://www.searchandapply.co.uk a UK Secured Loan Comparison Site.
Online Loan Calculators - http://www.searchandapply.co.uk/calculators.shtml
Tags: advice, Adviser, affordability, Ali, Ally, broker, Budget, cia, ck, Coul, credit, credit crisis, disposable income, Fi, financial, financial services, focus, heck, home, Home Loan, housing market, inc, lenders, loan, market, markets, mortgage, moving, net income, Prope, Rate, reason, Recession, risk, Searc, secured loan, shape, sit, target
Posted in Article | No Comments »
Thursday, October 9th, 2008
The Federal Reserve is easily one of the most powerful–and misunderstood–of all American institutions. The Federal Reserve’s steady hand as America’s “central banker” has been especially critical to U.S. economic performance during the past 25 years. Why?
The management of fiscal policy (taxation and spending) during the majority of those years by various Administrations and Congresses was less than admirable. As a result, the enormous and irresponsible buildup of Federal debt remains, for now, our collective lasting legacy.
Today’s Federal Reserve–under the control of Chair Ben Bernanke–enjoys a very high level of credibility as an inflation fighter. In the world of central banks, there is no loftier objective…nor any greater success.
Inflation Control
The Federal Reserve’s number one responsibility is to maintain American price stability. It has been largely successful over the past 15 years in doing so, with consumer prices rising at an average annual rate of 2.7% since 1991. More comprehensive measures of inflation have risen at even lesser rates. In contrast, U.S. consumer prices rose an average of 6.2% annually during the ’70s and ’80s, with a painful bout of double-digit inflation in 1979 and 1980.
Today’s Fed is very concerned that higher energy prices now impacting the economy will contribute to a broad series of price increases for thousands of products and services across the economy. Such a pass-through of energy costs keeps Fed officials awake at night.
Add in volatile commodity and gold prices, the fear of further terrorism in the U.S. and abroad, enormous purchases of U.S. Treasury securities by foreign investors, and a handful of other topics, and one gets a feel for the life of a Fed official. It is not for the faint hearted.
In its efforts to maintain price stability, the Fed many times is called upon to…
1) “take the punch bowl away from the party” (to slow the economy) when it gets a bit too rowdy
2) administer preventive “medicine” to its patient (the U.S. economy) when necessary in order to minimize the chance of a more serious “inflation disease” later, which would require even more drastic action (more painful medicine)
Note: Most changes to monetary policy are enacted by the Fed adding reserves to or withdrawing reserves from the banking system through a process called open market operations. The result of such moves is to increase or decrease the Fed’s most critical interest rate, the federal funds rate. The federal funds rate is the rate at which commercial banks and certain other financial institutions invest excess funds with other commercial banks on an overnight unsecured basis.
The federal funds rate is easily the most important of ALL short-term interest rates. Changes in the federal funds rate immediately impact the level of all other short-term interest rates, including the prime lending rate and various short-term investment rates. The discount rate, the other rate controlled by the Fed, is now almost irrelevant in today’s conduct of monetary policy.
The “Dog” and the “Tail”
While many of the Federal Reserve’s official responsibilities remain unchanged from earlier years, the nature of the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy flexibility has changed markedly during the past 25 years. In my opinion, the Federal Reserve is no longer the primary determinant of when monetary policy changes are necessary–the U.S. bond market is.
Since the Federal Reserve’s creation in 1913 until perhaps the late 1970s, the Federal Reserve solely determined monetary policy. The nation’s bond market–much smaller during those times–then quietly fell in line. During that era, the Federal Reserve was the “dog,” while the bond market was the “tail.” This relationship has now reversed.
Today’s reality is that the Federal Reserve, to a large extent, provides the monetary policy mix that is demanded by a powerful and very inflation-sensitive bond market. The market is now the “dog,” while the Federal Reserve is the “tail.”
Today’s inflation-wary bond market provides the Federal Reserve with less monetary policy flexibility than at any time in its history. Any future Federal Reserve attempt to over-stimulate U.S. economic growth with “easy money” would be met with rising long-term interest rates (to protect lenders/investors from impending higher inflation) and cries of Federal Reserve irresponsibility.
Conducting Monetary Policy
How is proper monetary policy determined by the Federal Reserve? The Fed is clearly concerned about the inflation implications of today’s historically tight labor markets and the wage pressures that could result.
In addition (and figuratively speaking), today’s Federal Reserve conducts monetary policy using an old-style balancing scale with four trays.
In separate trays, the Fed balances:
1) Criticism from the “hawks,” who see inflation under every rock. The hawks are typically critical of the Fed, noting that the institution is not aggressive enough in diffusing inflationary expectations
2) Criticism from the “doves,” who constantly argue that monetary policy is too restrictive. The doves argue that the Fed has usually gone too far in monetary tightening or not eased policy enough, and that the Fed frequently threatens the economy with the “r” word…recession
3) Recent price performance of gold and various other commodities. Price movements in these commodities can serve as inflation red flags, as well as signs of monetary policy that is too restrictive
4) The current shape and slope of the U.S. Treasury yield curve, including the most recent direction of 10-year U.S. Treasury Note and 30-year U.S. Treasury Bond yields. Such information provides a clue as to the bond market’s collective view of inflation expectations
Only when all trays are in “relative balance” does the Fed consider monetary policy to be appropriate.
The Fed must also consider the inflation implications of U.S. dollar strength or weakness relative to other global currencies. The Fed must also consider the conduct of monetary policy by other major central banks including the European Central Bank, the Bank of England, and the Bank of Japan…
…not a task for the faint-hearted
Economic futurist Jeff Thredgold is President of Thredgold Economic Associates, a professional speaking and economic consulting company.
Since 1976 Jeff’s weekly economic and financial newsletter, Tea Leaf, has been helping people make sense of the tangled maze of the U.S. and global economy and financial markets in a light, approachable style. Sign up to receive the free Tea Leaf email newsletter and let Jeff Thredgold show you how to use this information to enhance your financial well-being for years to come.
Jeff is the author of econAmerica: Why the American Economy is Alive and Well…and What That Means to Your Wallet (Wiley, 2007), and On the One Hand…The Economist’s Joke Book.
His career includes 23 years with $96 billion banking giant KeyCorp, where he served as Senior VP and Chief Economist. He now serves as economic consultant to $50 billion Zions Bancorporation, which has banks in 10 states.
Tags: Ali, Ally, Ast, bank, banks, bernanke, Career, central banks, cia, ck, clue, commercial, commercial banks, commodities, commodity, Congress, Control, Coul, credibility, currencies, current, debt, Dollar, drawing, E Book, ears, easy money, economic growth, Economy, Eek, ema, email, email newsletter, Energy Cost, Energy Costs, extent, fear, federal funds rate, federal reserve, Fi, financial, financial institutions, financial markets, financial news, Flexibility, foreign, Fre, Gold, Gr, gre, handful, heart, history, inc, inflation, informat, institutions, interest rate, Interest Rates, investment, investor, investors, IRA, Japan, lenders, lending, letter, lpi, Mai, mail, market, markets, measures, met, monet, money, peopl, People, price movement, price movements, profession, Prope, punch, Rate, Recession, red flag, Red Flags, relationship, rent, securities, shape, signs, sit, Smal, target
Posted in Article | No Comments »
Wednesday, September 24th, 2008
My book selection this week is Cosmic Economics. You can always pick yourself up out of the dumps by picking up one of the Master Prophet E. Bernard Jordan’s books and — LIKE MAGIC — you will go to the exact page you need. I did that today, not because I was in the dumps, but because his books inspire me to get up and do something.
Cosmic Principle 54–There is nothing in the outer world that cannot be replaced. This principle falls under the 10th Chapter of the book: Lift Up Your Eyes
The Master Prophet rebuilds my faith in this chapter. He reminds me that there is nothing in the outside world, the outside of me, that can harm me. When I find myself the object of unfriendliness, inequality or lack of opportunities, I have to begin to realize that these are EXTERNAL CONDITIONS and are not the truth of me. I must release any thought of harm, lack or poverty because it acts as an entity of power over me if I behold it as a thought.
The Master Prophet further reminds me that when I learn to dismiss these thoughts they cannot defile, deprive or limit me in any way, shape or form. I am then remolding my consciousness of truth.
The clincher in this chapter is when he says, “Once you have learned to dismiss them, you will have agreed with your adversary”. WOW! This scripture now comes to life within me…(Matt 5:25) Agreeing means I would have given up resistance to the person, things, or circumstantial condition that was disturbing me. Any so-called “problem” is not “A” POWER and has “NO” POWER. So that lets me know that as “A” POWER (God in me) anything that has “NO” POWER should not even get my attention.
Jordan tells us that in the natural realm — power only speaks to power (Kings speak to kings, presidents speak to presidents…etc.) in the spiritual realm it is even more so.
I learned to be still, to be quiet, to not try to overcome or rise above situations. But instead, I will now take them into my consciousness of truth, remembering there is NO POWER outside of me and will therefore bring myself into atonement of my divine self. If I try “WIN” within MY own power instead of God’s power, I can count those so-called victories as dung because they were won by operating outside of God.
The Master Prophet is saying here that I can count that as a victory — yes — but, know that the defeated foe I just won over (as an outside job) will be back to battle me again. But by agreeing with my adversary quickly, by taking the situation within my consciousness and resolving “the matter”, it is at that place — in my mind — that there is peace that surpasses all understanding. (Phil 4:7) And profoundly, the Contemporary English version of this scripture states: Then, because you belong to Christ Jesus, God will bless you with peace that no one can completely understand. And this peace will control the way you think and feel. —ISN’T THAT AMAZING?
We learn here that:
1 - it is only then (after we dismiss outside thinking) that we ACTUALLY are recognized as BELONGING to Christ and…
2 - no one will be able to understand how you “take what you take” because “the matter” will not rattle you now…and finally
#3 - Peace will control the way you think and feel.
That reminds me of the scripture: When a man’s ways please the LORD, he maketh even his enemies to be at peace with him. (Prov 16:7 - KJV)
Does that mean the way a man can please the Lord is by the way he “THINKS”? And the way you think will have your adversary making peace with you because you agreed with him quickly? And now that Peace is doing all of your thinking, controlling the way you think and feel, you should not have any more so-called problems distracting you? YES-YES-YES.
So therefore, I will no longer fight any battles from outside of myself–they are fruitless and prove nothing. The man of sense puts his trust in visible (or matter) while the man of God puts his trust in those invisible means.
Sandy Hill has had a variety of jobs, from a travel aide to a Governor to the volunteer coordinator of a large political campaign. Spiritually, she has been raised in church all of her life with her mother pastoring a church for a number of years. She came upon the writings of the Master Prophet, E. Bernard Jordan, Og Mandino and especially the works of Florence Scovel Shinn, her world was turned upside down. Your life can be illuminated through these works as well. email me at eatingtolive@live.com
Tags: acts, Ali, Ally, amp, Ast, Books, cia, ck, Control, E Book, ears, Eek, efile, ema, email, Faith, Fi, Fri, god, Gr, gre, Greed, inc, jesus, job, jobs, magic, Mai, mail, met, politic, principle, Proble, resistance, Review, Rsi, s books, shape, sit
Posted in Article | No Comments »
Saturday, May 31st, 2008
Observing the movement of stock prices in Japanese Candlestick format and in real-time depiction is somewhat akin to watching the printout of an electrocardiogram in motion. One is seeing at first hand the story of an unfolding investor psychology. The first practitioner of Candlestick price representation, so many centuries ago in Japan, was no doubt seeking to develop a strategy or a system of tactics which would deliver to him a trading advantage which would assist him in planning his next moves. The technique of price recordation which he developed was based on the principle of expanding the “line,” or “bar,” on a chart representing the range of prices for a given time period so as to create a fattened-out line, or cylinder, in which the opening price and the closing price for that time period would be the upper and lower limits of the cylinder. If the closing price of the day were higher than the opening price, then the cylinder would not be filled in, or would be left “white;” whereas if the closing price of the day were lower than the opening price, then the cylinder would be filled in, or made “black.”
This style of price display presented a visual picture which was instantly recognized by the eye. It was easy to discern the mood of the rice traders which was in effect during that session; and, depending on the relationship of that particular Candle bar’s relationship to adjacent and nearby bars, the operator had a basis for making a prediction of the direction of prices for the next day.
Furthermore, when interpreted properly in the light of human judgment, the shape of a bar, especially when considered in conjunction with adjacent or nearby bars, was found to possess an ability to forecast a reversal of major trend.
After long and expensive historical research and translation of old records into English, the Candlestick approach to price charting was brought to the Occidental world about 25 years ago. In the early years, the Candles developed a following only very slowly. More recently, however, professional traders and investors, as well as those who do not trade or invest for a living, have begun to appreciate the advantages of the Candlesticks, to the point at which it seems reasonable to predict that they will be the standard within the foreseeable future.
What is so unusual about the Candles? In short, they form patterns which have meaning in terms of revealing traders’ theretofore-hidden investment rationale, and also in terms of allowing forecasts to be made regarding the future course of price action. Some of these visual formations or images are useful in foretelling the end of a trend and a possible topping out and rollover to the downside (if the major trend has been one of increasing prices) or of bottoming out and rolling to the upside (if the major trend has been one of declining prices).
At the top of an extended rising market, one of the more dependable reversal patterns is the “Evening Star,” a three-bar pattern in which the first bar is a tall white bar; the middle bar is a small “Star” which usually sits higher than the first bar; and the third bar is a tall black candle which usually sits lower than the Star. This formation is bearish in its implications; and the implication is strengthened if the Star is a “Shooting Star,” which looks like its namesake. At the end of an extended declining market, the inverse pattern can also appear; and, perhaps not unexpectedly, its name is the “Morning Star.”
The opposite of the Shooting Star is the “Hammer,” which appears only at the end of an extend downtrend. The Hammer is considered to be one of the more reliable predictors of a possible change of trend to the upside, especially when the next day’s closing price is higher than the closing price of the Hammer.
A “Doji” is a price bar in which the opening price and the closing price are the same. It is considered to be an indicator of a reining-up - of indecision - and of a possible change of trend, when it appears at the end of an extended move in either direction. A Star whose opening price and closing price are the same is called a “Doji Star.” A “Bearish Engulfing” pattern occurs at the top of an uptrend, and is marked by the “real body” (i.e., the cylinder in the price bar) engulfing the real bodies of one or more previous bars. The “Bearish Engulfing” formation is, quite naturally, bearish. Its converse is the Bullish Engulfing pattern, which occurs at the bottom of a downtrend; and, obviously, carries a bullish signal.
In Candlestick parlance, gaps (”windows”) are celebrated as being generators of support and resistance. Often, a comparison of price action before and following a gap clearly reveals the power of a gap to repel prices which venture within it.
The Candles are useful in any time frame, including day trading. Although they are valuable in foretelling reversals, they do not predict the extent of a move. They are perfectly compatible with all “Western” Indicators, and the synergy which often results from the Candles and the Western Indicators used together can be remarkable. Furthermore, the Candles are equally adaptable to use in every financial market, including stocks, indexes, commodities, and Forex.
Technical analysis of Japanese Candlestick price imaging is founded on the hypothesis that price action in the financial markets is not random or mechanical; rather, that it is patterned (if the practitioner is following Elliott Wave theory), and that it is the result of human emotion in action.
There are many practitioners of Candlestick analytics who make their services available to the investing public. Some of them publish investment advisory newsletters (alternatively called “investment newsletters” or “market letters” or permutations thereof); some offer instructional and training seminars, forums, and chat rooms; some publish books; and some of them offer multiple services and products. Their observation of the Candlestick world sometimes leads to a critique of the common wisdom as propounded by the media, and to explicit review of, and commentary on, the state of the markets. Expostulation of the Candlestick analytical technique is not commonly a part of financial news programs, either in the popular printed media or on television; nor are the particulars of Candle theory often the subject of study, research, investigation, or illustration for the benefit of the investing public.
This is unfortunate, because the information which flows from these concepts could often open up new possibilities for investors and be of value to them in their decision making process.
http://www.candlewave.com
Tags: advantage, Ali, Ally, Ast, avail, Benefit, Books, Candlestick, Chat Room, chat rooms, cia, ck, commodities, Coul, day trading, doubt, ears, Eek, ema, Emoti, emotion, extent, Fi, financial, financial markets, financial news, fit, forex, forums, gap, gaps, Gr, heir, human, illustration, images, inc, indecision, indexes, informat, investing, investment, investor, investors, Irs, Japan, Jud, judgment, letter, love, lows, market, markets, mechanic, met, no doubt, observation, patter, possibilities, principle, profession, Professional Trader, Prope, psychology, Rate, reason, Regard, relationship, resistance, Review, Sake, Searc, shape, sit, Smal, stock, stock prices, stocks, target, trading
Posted in Article | No Comments »
Sunday, September 16th, 2007
The stock market is driven solely by human emotion. Nothing else really matters. Human emotion is driven by perception, and perception is jaded by expectations. If your expectations are not met, than your perception is that this is bad. So if your expectations are high, chances are you will be disappointed. The trick then is to gauge the expectations that stock traders have at any given moment. Unfortunately there is no reliable measurement that I know of to gauge expectations.
Much of any days movement can be attributed to the daily news. And most of the time it can be narrowed down to the day’s economic news. There are of course non-economic events that shape the trader’s expectations. Politics, war, disasters, etc., but barring any unusual activity in these areas, the economic news is the driving force of most trading day’s activity. The notable exception is during ‘earnings season’, but we will be writing a whole article covering this at a later date. Suffice it to say however, earnings are the epitome of our theme presented here. Traders usually have scenarios in their heads, expectations if you will. They expect inflation to fall or rise, interest rates therefore will either fall or rise in lock step fashion with inflation. Indicators are used to predict inflation such as productivity, employment, consumer sentiment etc. And traders, have expectations of all these figures as the month goes on. They use their expectations to gauge whether these numbers come in as good news or bad news. In high inflationary times, a report on higher unemployment actually becomes a positive. Because higher unemployment means consumers have less money, thereby inflationary pressures will ease. But if the economy is perceived to be in a recession, than a report on higher unemployment is seen as negative, because we are not likely to pull ourselves out without people working.
And then to add to the confusion there are times when the numbers come in better than expected and the market still tanks. What gives to all of this confusing melting pot of expectations, perceptions and emotions? Well, one thing I can tell you, don’t read too much into the standard market reports given at the end of the trading day. They are valuable in that they are nothing more than a report driven by the same emotions that drive the market. However, their downfall is that they fail to recognize this. Daily reports report the exact condition of the human psyche, without ever recognizing that the psyche is the market. They can’t separate the two, and therefore their weakness is, that the psyche is an ever changing environment, and rarely stays the same two days in a row. Unless there is that rare and exceptional event that the whole world is focusing on. Sometimes the market just sells off, because it is time to. Sometimes it rallies because is just time to. If our expectations are that the market will go higher, because the economic data points that way, it will. But there will come a time, when the economic data fail to, or when our rosier than rosy scenario, shows a chink somewhere in that shining armor. And viola, nobody buys that day, or two days or week. Nothing in reality has changed except our emotions.
The trick to making money off all this is, watch the expectations. Watch the perceptions, and then watch the technical factors of the market, and the industries. If there is a bull move in housing say. And the underlying factors are there for home building, i.e. low interest rates. And the industry is moving along just fine, without speculative fever. This is the time you watch it, and wait. There will be some bad news along the way. Maybe even just a pause in housing permits, maybe an uptick in interest rates, for a very silly reason. And watch the band wagon empty out. This is when you buy, not while it is falling, but when it stops falling. This is the easiest band wagon to jump on. One that is stopping at the bus stop. Don’t jump on the moving bus, wait for it to stop. Likewise that is when you jump off too, not after it has gone into reverse. But when it has stopped. The easiest part of any move, is the middle part. The beginning is hard to see, the end is full of unpredictability and wild price changes, but ahh that middle. The boring old middle, full of narrow trading days, and small incremental price jumps. Nobody prints articles about that, it isn’t sexy or romantic. It is just profitable.
The other nice thing about the middle of any move, is it is backed by solid economic data in its favor. Any time there is unfortunate reports, people jump off slowly. The uptrend stops, not reverses. Because speculation hasn’t hit yet. Expectations are not unrealistic. And it doesn’t show up in the daily reports yet. The daily reports are filled with information about sectors that are either at the bottom or the top of their speculative run. Because without recognizing it they are reporting on the sectors that have the strongest emotions. And the two strongest emotions driving the market are none other than fear and greed. And when are fear and greed are at their most prominent, at the top and the bottom.
Trade without fear and greed, and you will trade well.
Now what to do about those daily reports? How to trade off of them? You trade opposite them. Not the day they are printed. When oil or housing are booming out of control and EVERYONE is talking about it. You put large cap oil and housing stocks on your watch list and wait. A month or two or three it isn’t exact science here. Dealing with human emotions never is, just ask Freudians. But you wait, until they stop making news highs, until they start making lower highs, then you short them. Or vice versa when techs crashed. You wait, and when they stop making lower lows, you buy them. But not just any stocks, large caps, quality stocks with real value, like earnings, assets, maybe even a dividend or two. Shorting large caps makes sense too, as they are easier to borrow, and they pretty much follow the trend, in fact in many industries they are the trend.
Trade without fear and greed, and you will trade well. Think for yourself and you will trade well. I encourage you to read my daily blog at http://livingonlargecaps.blogspot.com
For real time trading following these and other common sense principles.
CT Larsen has been trading stocks since 1990. Now trading large cap stocks exclusively. He has recorded three straight years of greater than 50% annual returns. You can read his blog at http://livingonlargecaps.blogspot.com
Tags: Ali, Ally, assets, Ast, bad news, bet, bett, blog, blogs, blogspot, bus stop, ck, common sense, confusion, consumers, Control, dea, disaster, downfall, Earnings, ears, economic data, Economy, Eek, Emoti, emotion, emotions, Employ, fear, Fi, fit, focus, Fre, Gr, gre, Greed, heir, home, human, inc, inflation, informat, interest rate, Interest Rates, Logs, low interest rates, lows, making money, market, measurement, met, money, moving, nfa, peopl, People, perception, politic, principle, Productivity, rash, Rate, Real Time, reason, Recession, scenarios, sentiment, shape, sit, Smal, speculation, stock, stock market, stock trading, stocks, target, trading
Posted in Article | No Comments »